Wednesday, December 24, 2025
Wednesday, December 24, 2025
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HomePakistanRice Outlook 2025: Global & Pakistan Production Outlook

Rice Outlook 2025: Global & Pakistan Production Outlook

Pakistan’s rice production in 2025/26 is projected to reach 9.12 million ton, down from 9.7 million ton in 2024/25. The decline in output is primarily attributed to flooding and excessive rainfall during the growing season, which caused significant crop damage in several key producing areas.

At the global level, rice production in 2025/26 marketing season is forecast to reach at 556.4 million ton on a milled basis, compared with 546.6 million ton in 2024/25. This represents an increase of 0.9 percent year-on-year, reflecting expectations of improved growing conditions and continued expansion in key producing regions.

According to the global organisation, much of this anticipated growth will stem from Latin America and the Caribbean, where production is projected to reach a record high of 20.5 million ton, up 9.1 percent from the previous season. The strong performance in the region is largely attributed to bumper harvests in Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay. These countries are benefiting from a combination of favourable weather patterns, including timely rainfall and suitable temperature ranges, which have supported excellent crop establishment and yield development.

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Why Pakistan’s Rice Exports Are Falling While India Maintains Its Position

In November, Pakistan exported 406,843 metric tons of rice worth $171 million, showing a month-on-month increase compared to October, when exports stood at 360,474 metric tons. Despite this improvement, Pakistan’s overall rice exports remain significantly below last year’s levels. In comparison with its neighboring country India’s rice exports largely remained stable compared to the previous year. From April to November 2025, India earned approximately $7.3 billion from rice exports, almost unchanged from the same period last year. As the world’s largest rice exporter, India’s export performance has played a key role in shaping global rice stocks, alongside good harvests in other major producing countries that have kept global supply comfortable.
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