According to the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA) arrival report dated 30th September, a total of 3 million bales have arrived in ginneries across the country so far this season. The majority of the arrivals were recorded from Sindh, contributing 1.9 million bales, while Punjab accounted for 1.1 million bales.
Sindh’s arrivals have shown a significant year-on-year increase, rising from 1.3 million bales during the same period last year to 1.9 million bales this season. The surge is largely attributed to strong output in Sanghar, which has once again led production with 970,000 bales received so far. Notable increases have also been observed in Nawabshah, Naushahro Feroze, and other parts of lower Sindh.
In Punjab, arrivals have also improved compared to last year, increasing by approximately 400,000 bales. The overall fortnightly inflow of around 1 million bales has strengthened market supply, which in turn has exerted downward pressure on cotton prices.
Although the new PCGA report has not yet been released, it is expected that an additional 1.2 million bales will enter the market in the upcoming report. The anticipated surge in arrivals is likely to maintain pressure on prices, especially amid muted demand from spinners and limited buying activity in the local market.
As a result, cotton prices have already declined by around PKR 300 per maund since 3 October, with traders reporting sluggish buying interest and cautious sentiment among millers. Market participants expect prices to remain under pressure in the short term, unless demand picks up or arrivals slow down.
