According to the latest report from the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA), cotton arrivals across Pakistan have increased by 3.41% year-on-year. As of October 31, 2025, total arrivals stood at 4,437,255 bales compared to 4,291,105 bales in the same period last year, reflecting a moderate improvement in overall supply.
The increase indicates slightly better crop inflow at the national level, although regional performance remains uneven.
📉 Key Drivers
The rise in cotton arrivals is mainly driven by improved output in key producing districts and relatively stable crop conditions in parts of Sindh and southern Punjab. However, the gains remain limited due to inconsistent yields in several cotton-growing regions.
Punjab recorded a modest recovery, while Sindh showed steady growth supported by major producing districts. At the same time, crop stress, weather variability, and area shifts toward alternative crops continued to restrict stronger national growth.
🌾 Regional Production Update
In Punjab, cotton arrivals reached 1,909,080 bales, showing a 3.63% increase from 1,842,257 bales last year. Key contributors included Dera Ghazi Khan, Khanewal, Bahawalnagar, and Bahawalpur.
Dera Ghazi Khan recorded a strong increase of 36.93%, while Bahawalnagar also posted positive growth. However, major industrial cotton belts such as Faisalabad, Multan, and Mianwali saw declines, with production even halting in certain pockets, reflecting localized crop stress.
In Sindh, total arrivals reached 2,528,176 bales, up 3.24% from 2,448,488 bales last year. Major contributors included Sanghar, Nawabshah/Feroz, and Khairpur.
Sanghar remained the leading district with 732,650 bales and a 3.75% increase, while Nawabshah/Feroz recorded a 10% rise. However, Badin and Ghotki witnessed declines, highlighting uneven production performance within the province.
⚖️ Supply Impact
Despite overall growth in arrivals, the cotton market continues to reflect regional imbalance. Sindh remains the dominant contributor, while Punjab shows mixed performance with strong gains in some districts and sharp declines in others.
This uneven supply pattern is influencing procurement behavior, with mills focusing on consistent quality regions while avoiding areas with declining output.
🔮 Market Outlook
Cotton supply is expected to remain moderately stable in the short term, supported by steady inflows from Sindh. However, uneven district-level production in Punjab may continue to create localized supply pressure and quality variation in the market.
💡 Key Insight
While national cotton arrivals have improved slightly, the growth is uneven and heavily dependent on a few strong districts, highlighting structural weaknesses in Pakistan’s cotton production base.
🔚 Conclusion
Pakistan’s cotton sector has shown a modest recovery in arrivals, but the improvement remains uneven across regions. Sindh continues to support national supply, while Punjab’s mixed performance limits stronger growth. The overall market remains stable, but long-term strength will depend on consistent productivity across all major cotton zones.
The Agri-Crop editorial team comprises commodity market analysts, rice trade specialists, and agriculture industry professionals based in Pakistan. We track daily price movements, export data, and policy developments across Pakistan’s key agricultural sectors.
