Commodity News Desk – AgriWire December 21, 2025

🌏 Global Sugar Update

🇧🇷 Brazil

• 📈 Sugar Output: 45 million MT (revised upward)
• 🌾 Cane Allocation: 51% diverted to sugar production

👉 Higher diversion toward sugar = increased global supply

🇮🇳 India

• 📦 Oct–Dec Production: 7.8 million MT
• 📈 Growth: +28% YoY
• 📊 2025/26 Output Estimate: 31 million MT
• ⛽ Ethanol Allocation Reduced: 3.4 million MT
  👉 More sugar available for export market
• 🚢 Export Cap: 1.5 million MT

👉 Despite export limits, global prices remain under pressure due to higher availability.

🇹🇭 Thailand

• 🌾 Production Outlook: 10.5 million MT
• 📈 Growth: +5% YoY

👉 Driven by favorable weather and strong cane crop

⚖️ Sugar Market Insight

• Global production is rising across major producers
• Increased availability is creating downward pressure on prices

🌾 Pakistan Wheat Sector Update

🇵🇰 Pakistan

• 🚫 No government wheat procurement
• 📝 National Wheat Policy 2025–26 to implement deregulation
• 📅 Long-term policy framework expected by May 2026

👉 Shift indicates transition toward a market-driven wheat system

🌏 Grain Update – Self-Sufficiency Milestone

🇮🇩 Indonesia

🚜 Achieves 100% self-sufficiency in rice & corn (2025)

• 🍚 Rice Production: 34.77 million tons
  • 📈 Growth: +13.5% YoY
  • 🏦 State Reserves: 4 million tons
• 🌽 Corn Production:
  • Current: 2.8 million tons
  • Expected: 4 million tons by year-end

👉 Result:

• ❌ Zero imports for rice & corn
• 🎯 Focus shifting to imports of:
  • Soybeans
  • Wheat
  • Sugar

🔮 Overall Market Outlook

• 🍬 Sugar: Bearish bias due to global supply expansion
• 🌾 Wheat (Pakistan): Transition toward deregulated pricing
• 🌏 Grains (Indonesia): Reduced import demand may impact regional trade flows

💡 Conclusion

Rising sugar production across major exporters combined with policy shifts in key consuming countries signals a structural shift toward higher supply and selective import demand, reshaping global agri trade dynamics.

AGRI CROP

The Agri-Crop editorial team comprises commodity market analysts, rice trade specialists, and agriculture industry professionals based in Pakistan. We track daily price movements, export data, and policy developments across Pakistan’s key agricultural sectors.