Two large shipments are set to arrive:
- 🚢 Fortune Aqua: 24,000 MT (arriving 3 Nov)
- 🚢 Port Orient: 23,000 MT (arriving 10 Nov)
👉 Total inflow: ~50,000 MT in one month
This is considered:
- ⚠️ Unusually high monthly volume
- 📦 A major addition to existing domestic supply
- 📉 Likely to pressure prices further
📦 Supply Context – Already Elevated Imports
- 🇵🇰 Till September 2025: ~75,000 MT imported
- ➕ Upcoming arrivals: ~50,000 MT
- 📊 Combined effect: Sharp supply expansion in short time
👉 Market implication:
Domestic supply will rise significantly above normal monthly absorption levels
📉 Local Market – Weak Price Trend
- 🌾 Crimson lentils: Rs 194/kg (↓ Rs 2)
- 🌾 Nipper lentils: Rs 196/kg (↓ Rs 2)
👉 Market conditions:
- 📉 Gradual downward movement already underway
- 🧾 Limited buyer participation
- ⚖️ No strong upside momentum visible
🌍 International Prices – Competitive Pressure
- 🇦🇺 Australia (Nov–Dec): ~$480/ton
- 🇨🇦 Canada (Nov–Dec): ~$535/ton
👉 Insight:
- Australia is more competitive globally
- Canada remains premium priced
- Global market remains well supplied overall
⚖️ Market Balance
| Factor | Impact |
|---|---|
| Large vessel arrivals | 📉 Strong bearish |
| Weak domestic demand | 📉 Bearish |
| Already high imports | 📉 Bearish |
| Global stable supply | ⚖️ Neutral-bearish |
🔚 Conclusion
Pakistan’s lentil market is likely to remain under pressure in the near term, driven by unusually large import arrivals and weak buying activity. Unless demand strengthens or import flow slows, prices are expected to stay soft to bearish through November.
The Agri-Crop editorial team comprises commodity market analysts, rice trade specialists, and agriculture industry professionals based in Pakistan. We track daily price movements, export data, and policy developments across Pakistan’s key agricultural sectors.
