Two large shipments are expected:
- 🚢 Maximos → 35,000 MT (arrival ~20 Nov)
- 🚢 Dubic Galactic → 30,000 MT (currently anchored, under quarantine inspection)
👉 Combined impact:
- 📦 ~65,000 MT additional supply
- ⚠️ Depends on plant quarantine clearance for berthing
📊 Existing Import Base
- 🇵🇰 Jan–Sep 2025 imports: 120,000+ MT
- ➕ Upcoming vessels: +65,000 MT
- 📈 Total effective supply expansion: very large in short period
👉 Market implication:
Domestic supply is entering a high-availability phase
📉 Local Market Conditions
- 🟡 Current price: ~Rs 100/kg
- 📉 Trend: weak / under pressure
- 🧾 Buying interest: low
- 🤝 Market participation: limited
👉 Key issue:
- Traders and buyers are not actively building positions
- Market liquidity is thin
🌍 International Prices
- 🌐 Yellow peas: $295–300/ton
👉 Insight:
- Global prices remain relatively stable
- Local market is more sensitive due to sudden supply inflows
⚖️ Market Balance
| Factor | Impact |
|---|---|
| Large vessel arrivals | 📉 Bearish |
| Weak demand | 📉 Bearish |
| High existing imports | 📉 Bearish |
| Quarantine delays (temporary) | ⚖️ Short-term support |
🔚 Conclusion
With ~65,000 MT of additional supply entering the system and already weak demand conditions, the yellow pea market is expected to remain soft and range-bound to bearish in the near term, unless demand from feed or retail segments improves significantly.
The Agri-Crop editorial team comprises commodity market analysts, rice trade specialists, and agriculture industry professionals based in Pakistan. We track daily price movements, export data, and policy developments across Pakistan’s key agricultural sectors.
