Pakistan’s edible oil sector is showing a clear divergence trend, where palm oil imports and stocks are strengthening, while soybean oil imports continue to decline sharply amid changing import patterns and domestic processing shifts.
🌴 Palm Oil Imports – Strong Uptrend Continues
📊 Import Spending
- 💰 First 4 months: $1.197 billion
- 📈 FY 2025 total: $3.370 billion
📅 Monthly Trend
- 📅 October: $322.21 million
- 📅 September: $291.71 million
- 📅 October last year: $262.96 million
👉 Imports show a steady upward trajectory driven by strong domestic demand
🛢️ Stock Position – Healthy Supply Pipeline
📦 Weekly Oil Stocks (24 Nov 2025)
- 🌴 RBD Palm Olein: 278,000 MT (highest share)
- 🟠 RBD Palm Oil: 175,000 MT
- 🟡 C.D.S.B.O (soybean/cotton derivative): 10,000 MT
⚓ Port-Level Situation
- 📦 Total stocks at Port Qasim: 463,000 MT
- 🚢 Weekly refinery intake: 61,250 MT
- 🚢 Expected new arrivals: 65,000 MT
👉 Stock levels indicate strong supply continuity with potential further buildup
🌱 Soybean Oil – Sharp Import Decline
📊 Import Spending
- 💰 First 4 months: $35.18 million
- 📉 Decline: -99.78% YoY
📅 Monthly Trend
- 📅 October: $4.763 million
- 📅 September: $4.380 million
- 📅 October last year: $28.31 million
📊 FY 2025 Total
- 🌱 Soybean oil imports: $372.022 million
👉 The decline reflects a major structural shift away from refined soybean oil imports
🔄 Market Shift – Changing Import Pattern
Key trend drivers:
- 🏭 Increased domestic soybean seed crushing
- 🛢️ Higher reliance on palm oil imports
- 📉 Reduced demand for refined soybean oil
- ⚙️ Refinery capacity absorbing more raw input oils
👉 Pakistan is shifting from refined oil imports → raw material processing model
⚖️ Market Balance – Current Situation
- 📦 High palm oil availability
- 📉 Weak soybean oil import flow
- 🏭 Strong refinery activity
- 🛒 Stable domestic demand
👉 Overall market remains well-supplied and operationally stable
🔮 Outlook
- 🟢 Short-term: stable pricing due to high inventories
⚠️ Risk factors:
- Global palm oil price volatility
- Currency movement
- Import timing fluctuations
🟢 Support factors:
- Strong port arrivals
- Consistent refinery demand
🔚 Conclusion
Strong palm oil imports and rising stocks are keeping the market stable, while the sharp decline in soybean oil imports reflects a long-term transition in Pakistan’s edible oil consumption and processing structure.
The Agri-Crop editorial team comprises commodity market analysts, rice trade specialists, and agriculture industry professionals based in Pakistan. We track daily price movements, export data, and policy developments across Pakistan’s key agricultural sectors.
